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Red56
548414.8
146634.3
44726.6
Blue45
492641.0
320130.2
549232.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801260501001502005645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
3Coral scored#4
11Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
17Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
56Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.31.6
31.029.5
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
blue by 6.7
41.04.6
44.439.8
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Second
447
#5
26.61.6
29.027.5
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
blue by 6.1
5492
#10
32.74.6
33.829.2
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Third
14.81.6
19.618.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End0.6
blue by 15.4
30.24.6
35.230.6
Auto6.3
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned