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Red66
174738.2
99862.1
998513.8
Blue84
55423.6
278358.1
649814.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691080501502006684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +8
5Coral scored#9
19Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
35Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
6Foul points0
66Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.7
36.036.7
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End7.6
blue by 19.9
58.10.6
57.456.8
Auto17.8
Teleop30.8
End9.4
Second
9985
#14
13.81.1
12.713.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.3
End1.4
blue by 9.8
554
#15
23.60.6
20.720.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
Third
9986
#20
2.11.1
1.02.1
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.7
End2.8
blue by 12.2
6498
#17
14.30.6
14.213.7
Auto1.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned