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Red47
949120.7
602335.3
548414.8
Blue23
95549.2
75164.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98150501502004723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
3Coral scored#3
9Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
13Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
18Foul points2
47Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6023
#13
35.33.7
37.633.8
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.4
red by 25.8
9.40.7
11.010.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Second
20.73.7
23.820.1
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End-0.6
red by 11.5
9554
#16
9.20.7
11.110.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Third
14.83.7
18.014.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End0.6
red by 10.3
7516
#18
4.50.7
3.83.1
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
4%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed