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Red170
146634.3
384318.7
745791.5
Blue175
492641.0
172031.3
278358.1
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159133050100200250300170175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points45
47Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +1
24Coral scored#24
87Coral points86
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
109Total teleop108
Reef
13L4#9
8L3#12
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
170Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.51.4
90.992.3
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
red by 33.4
58.12.5
56.859.3
Auto17.8
Teleop30.8
End9.4
Second
34.31.4
29.530.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
blue by 6.7
41.02.5
39.842.3
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Third
3843
#19
18.71.4
17.719.1
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 12.7
1720
#11
31.32.5
29.331.8
Auto6.0
Teleop19.2
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned