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Qual 42025 RiverBOaT Rumble
Red38
99862.1
172031.3
146634.3
Blue81
44726.6
949120.7
174738.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141100501001502003881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+45
Endgame+41
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +35
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
22Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
4Foul points6
38Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#7
34.33.4
36.2→32.8
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
blue by 3.8
1747
#3
38.21.8
37.3→35.5
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End7.6
Second
1720
#11
31.33.4
33.8→30.5
Auto6.0
Teleop19.2
End6.1
red by 4.7
447
#5
26.61.8
35.3→33.5
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
Third
9986
#20
2.15.6
9.0→3.4
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.7
End2.8
blue by 18.6
9491
#8
20.71.8
24.2→22.4
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed