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Red50
75164.5
55423.6
602335.3
Blue119
278358.1
548414.8
320130.2
19%Model gave it81%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7914605010020025050119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+39
Endgame+51
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +25
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
23Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points18
50Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6023
#13
35.32.3
42.940.6
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.4
blue by 22.8
58.12.0
57.355.4
Auto17.8
Teleop30.8
End9.4
Second
554
#15
23.62.5
29.326.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
blue by 6.6
30.22.0
41.339.4
Auto6.3
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Third
7516
#18
4.52.5
6.84.2
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End0.1
blue by 10.3
14.82.0
26.124.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned