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Red80
998513.8
549232.7
172031.3
Blue99
649814.3
492641.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79900501502002503008099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+31
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +23
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
42Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
80Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#10
32.70.0
34.434.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
blue by 8.3
41.01.1
48.950.0
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Second
1720
#11
31.30.0
30.530.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.2
End6.1
red by 17.1
6498
#17
14.31.1
21.923.0
Auto1.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Third
9985
#14
13.80.0
15.515.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 4.3
9.41.2
11.512.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned