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Red18
384318.7
95549.2
548414.8
Blue147
745791.5
44726.6
55423.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54192010015025030018147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+45
Teleop+113
Endgame+123
Fouls+129
AutonomousBlue +45
6Leave9
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points42
6Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +68
2Coral scored#17
8Coral points62
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
8Total teleop76
Reef
1L4#10
1L3#6
0L2#6
0L1 · trough#3
2Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +129
0Foul points6
18Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3843
#19
18.73.3
26.022.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 72.8
91.50.9
94.093.1
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
Second
14.83.3
24.220.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End0.6
blue by 11.8
447
#5
26.60.9
33.532.6
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
Third
9554
#16
9.23.3
17.113.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.5
blue by 14.4
554
#15
23.60.9
26.825.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned