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Red121
174738.2
602335.3
75164.5
Blue111
548414.8
649814.3
949120.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86510204060100120140160121111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+14Teleop
+22Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
18Coral scored#13
64Coral points47
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
18Processor points18
16Net points12
34Algae points30
98Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#6
6L3#6
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points12
121Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.8
36.737.5
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End7.6
red by 17.5
20.70.9
20.121.0
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End-0.6
Second
6023
#13
35.30.8
33.834.6
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.4
red by 20.5
14.80.9
14.315.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End0.6
Third
7516
#18
4.50.8
3.13.9
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End0.1
blue by 9.7
6498
#17
14.30.9
13.714.6
Auto1.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1