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Red0
999512.2
999612.2
999412.2
Blue1
146634.3
549232.7
55423.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6192020408010012014016001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points1
0Total score1

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9994
Unranked
12.21.5
13.812.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 22.1
34.31.8
30.929.1
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Second
9995
Unranked
12.21.5
13.812.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 20.4
5492
#10
32.71.8
29.227.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Third
9996
Unranked
12.21.5
13.812.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 11.3
554
#15
23.61.8
20.118.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5