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Red0
999812.2
999912.2
999712.2
Blue1
548414.8
649814.3
949120.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1062020408010012014001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points1
0Total score1

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9997
Unranked
12.21.5
13.812.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 8.4
20.71.1
21.019.9
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End-0.6
Second
9998
Unranked
12.21.5
13.812.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 2.6
14.81.1
15.214.1
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End0.6
Third
9999
Unranked
12.21.5
13.812.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 2.0
6498
#17
14.31.1
14.613.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1