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Red165
745791.5
44726.6
Blue59
384318.7
320130.2
172031.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1447505010020025030016559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+118Teleop
+118Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave3
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points6
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +83
21Coral scored#6
75Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
107Total teleop24
Reef
11L4#3
9L3#2
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points12
165Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.51.0
89.490.4
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
red by 60.2
1720
#11
31.30.8
31.730.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.2
End6.1
Second
447
#5
26.61.0
24.625.5
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
blue by 3.6
30.20.8
30.529.7
Auto6.3
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Third
9.41.0
7.48.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 9.2
3843
#19
18.70.8
19.018.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.3