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Red161
1650.6
978729.6
804466.6
Blue135
3425.5
565353.7
299256.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157147100120140180200220240161135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +21
21Coral scored#14
74Coral points51
1Processor algae#4
7Net algae#3
6Processor points24
28Net points12
34Algae points36
108Total teleop87
Reef
12L4#10
5L3#5
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
161Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.3
66.366.6
Auto13.4
Teleop47.0
End6.2
red by 10.2
2992
#10
56.40.0
56.456.4
Auto11.6
Teleop42.6
End2.2
Second
16
#4
50.60.3
50.350.6
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
blue by 3.1
53.70.0
53.853.7
Auto11.1
Teleop37.7
End4.9
Third
9787
#23
29.60.5
29.129.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End3.7
red by 4.0
34
#19
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End6.6