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Red168
1650.6
978729.6
804466.6
Blue141
3425.5
565353.7
299256.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156149100120140180200220168141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points28
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +31
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#5
18Processor points12
32Net points20
50Algae points32
115Total teleop84
Reef
11L4#5
7L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points6
168Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.5
65.866.3
Auto13.4
Teleop47.0
End6.2
red by 10.2
2992
#10
56.40.0
56.556.4
Auto11.6
Teleop42.6
End2.2
Second
16
#4
50.60.5
49.750.3
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
blue by 3.1
53.70.0
53.853.8
Auto11.1
Teleop37.7
End4.9
Third
9787
#23
29.60.7
28.429.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End3.7
red by 4.0
34
#19
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End6.6