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Red145
3425.5
565353.7
299256.4
Blue127
310237.8
45654.2
375320.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157119100200250145127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +1
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
6Processor points12
28Net points16
34Algae points28
93Total teleop92
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points6
145Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#10
56.40.1
56.456.5
Auto11.6
Teleop42.6
End2.2
red by 2.2
456
#5
54.20.2
54.054.2
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
Second
53.70.1
53.753.8
Auto11.1
Teleop37.7
End4.9
red by 16.0
3102
#14
37.80.2
37.637.8
Auto5.4
Teleop27.9
End4.5
Third
34
#19
25.50.1
25.525.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End6.6
red by 5.4
3753
#42
20.10.2
19.920.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End1.2