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Red107
310237.8
45654.2
375320.1
Blue0
203658.6
191245.8
215221.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241430501002001070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+20
Endgame+34
+107Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
77Total teleop83
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#4
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +107
12Foul points-129
107Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
54.20.4
54.454.0
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
blue by 4.4
2036
#6DQ
58.60.1
58.558.6
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
Second
3102
#14
37.80.4
38.037.6
Auto5.4
Teleop27.9
End4.5
blue by 8.0
1912
#16DQ
45.80.1
45.845.8
Auto8.4
Teleop34.5
End2.8
Third
3753
#42
20.10.4
20.319.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 1.7
2152
#52DQ
21.90.1
21.821.9
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6