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Red162
1650.6
978729.6
804466.6
Blue117
3425.5
565353.7
299256.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15515180100120140180200220240162117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +19
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points57
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
102Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#9
9L3#5
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
162Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.4
65.365.8
Auto13.4
Teleop47.0
End6.2
red by 10.2
2992
#10
56.40.4
56.856.4
Auto11.6
Teleop42.6
End2.2
Second
16
#4
50.60.4
49.349.7
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
blue by 3.1
53.70.4
54.153.7
Auto11.1
Teleop37.7
End4.9
Third
9787
#23
29.60.6
27.828.4
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End3.7
red by 4.0
34
#19
25.50.4
25.925.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End6.6