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Red96
352631.4
906731.8
346831.8
Blue133
310237.8
45654.2
375320.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041245015020096133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +30
12Coral scored#19
42Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
60Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#10
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
96Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3468
#11
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End4.1
blue by 22.4
456
#5
54.20.5
53.954.4
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
Second
9067
#31
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End2.9
blue by 6.0
3102
#14
37.80.5
37.538.0
Auto5.4
Teleop27.9
End4.5
Third
31.40.0
31.431.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 11.3
3753
#42
20.10.5
19.820.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End1.2