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Red158
203658.6
191245.8
215221.9
Blue132
361635.8
880844.2
501336.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112880100120160180200220240158132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points59
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
18Processor points24
24Net points24
42Algae points48
112Total teleop107
Reef
11L4#7
7L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#31
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
158Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.7
57.858.5
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
red by 14.4
44.20.3
43.944.2
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End7.1
Second
1912
#16
45.80.7
45.145.8
Auto8.4
Teleop34.5
End2.8
red by 9.3
5013
#18
36.50.3
36.236.5
Auto6.1
Teleop29.3
End1.1
Third
2152
#52
21.90.7
21.121.8
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 14.0
3616
#26
35.80.3
35.535.8
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End2.1