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Red78
360615.7
299256.4
375320.1
Blue65
501336.5
1055016.8
297318.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions995501502007865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+15Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#9
50Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
72Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
78Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#10
56.40.8
48.447.6
Auto11.6
Teleop42.6
End2.2
red by 19.9
5013
#18
36.50.5
27.127.6
Auto6.1
Teleop29.3
End1.1
Second
3753
#42
20.11.0
18.117.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End1.2
red by 2.0
2973
#25
18.20.5
13.413.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Third
3606
#37
15.71.3
17.416.1
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End1.4
blue by 1.1
16.80.8
14.615.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed