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Red112
310237.8
208016.4
45654.2
Blue117
142130.8
352631.4
565353.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210590110120130112117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +4
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
68Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#5
1L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
2Foul points0
112Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
54.20.9
43.644.5
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
red by 0.5
53.71.3
42.143.4
Auto11.1
Teleop37.7
End4.9
Second
3102
#14
37.81.1
28.930.0
Auto5.4
Teleop27.9
End4.5
red by 6.4
31.41.2
22.223.4
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Third
2080
#40
16.40.9
12.913.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End3.2
blue by 14.5
30.81.2
22.423.6
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned