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Red54
930917.9
36422.5
597116.5
Blue48
931318.1
181811.5
711121.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645002040801001201405448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
39Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
54Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#24
22.50.7
25.124.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End5.5
red by 1.0
7111
#36
21.50.3
11.911.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End1.0
Second
9309
#28
17.90.7
10.49.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.6
blue by 0.2
9313
#32
18.10.4
12.011.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Third
5971
#41
16.51.0
19.618.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.6
red by 5.0
1818
#50
11.50.5
19.418.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed