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Red24
978729.6
375320.1
596511.6
Blue100
1065516.4
878823.8
971739.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5593020408012014016024100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+28
Endgame+42
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +21
3Coral scored#8
12Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
18Total teleop39
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points34
24Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9787
#23
29.62.8
21.018.1
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End3.7
blue by 10.2
9717
#17
39.70.6
33.833.1
Auto7.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
Second
3753
#42
20.11.9
17.115.2
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 3.7
8788
#27
23.80.8
24.423.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.1
End1.4
Third
5965
#44
11.62.8
11.68.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
blue by 4.8
16.41.0
16.515.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned