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Red102
1049726.7
203658.6
709423.9
Blue119
1650.6
3425.5
191245.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10210160708090110120130140102119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+25
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
15Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
67Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points6
102Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.5
46.446.8
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
red by 8.0
16
#4
50.61.2
38.439.6
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
Second
26.70.8
16.517.3
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End1.3
blue by 19.1
1912
#16
45.81.3
32.133.4
Auto8.4
Teleop34.5
End2.8
Third
7094
#22
23.90.6
21.021.5
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End3.3
blue by 1.6
34
#19
25.51.2
19.220.3
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed