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Red74
218329.7
297318.2
976821.2
Blue31
915324.2
208016.4
1055016.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645502040801001201401607431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+29Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#4
38Coral points13
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
46Total teleop23
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
74Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#20
29.71.7
26.328.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.5
End5.2
red by 5.6
9153
#33
24.21.3
19.217.9
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End0.5
Second
9768
#45
21.22.3
13.415.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End2.0
red by 4.4
16.81.9
15.413.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Third
2973
#25
18.21.4
13.915.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End0.9
red by 1.8
2080
#40
16.41.2
13.812.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed