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Red117
408739.8
346831.8
966016.9
Blue78
586319.2
361635.8
162219.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8771020406010012014016011778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+15Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
18Coral points11
18Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +11
15Coral scored#12
55Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
73Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
117Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.82.8
31.234.0
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End8.7
red by 4.0
3616
#26
35.80.6
24.625.1
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End2.1
Second
3468
#11Sur
31.82.5
24.827.3
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End4.1
red by 12.0
1622
#35
19.80.6
21.922.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Third
9660
#29
16.94.2
11.816.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End4.3
blue by 2.3
5863
#39Sur
19.20.6
11.912.4
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed