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Red161
45654.2
433637.3
648923.8
Blue101
610722.1
215221.9
303926.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110570100150161101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +43
29Coral scored#13
103Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
6Processor points6
12Net points24
18Algae points30
121Total teleop78
Reef
12L4#6
6L3#5
7L2#2
7L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
161Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
54.23.7
44.548.2
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
red by 28.1
3039
#47
26.12.8
23.426.2
Auto6.3
Teleop16.4
End3.4
Second
4336
#38
37.33.7
29.933.6
Auto4.8
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 15.2
6107
#13
22.12.3
12.815.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Third
6489
#43Sur
23.86.1
16.322.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 1.9
2152
#52
21.92.3
16.819.1
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsEarned