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Red93
142130.8
880844.2
94358.7
Blue34
360615.7
945614.2
36422.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836602040601001209334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+51Teleop
+65Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
61Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points6
93Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.8
33.835.6
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End7.1
red by 21.7
364
#24
22.51.8
24.422.6
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End5.5
Second
30.81.8
23.625.3
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End5.5
red by 15.2
3606
#37
15.73.0
16.113.0
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End1.4
Third
9435
#51
8.72.0
6.08.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 5.5
9456
#46
14.23.0
12.19.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned