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Red98
930917.9
931318.1
352631.4
Blue33
878823.8
96104.1
976111.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5551204060809833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
15Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +39
12Coral scored#4
43Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
63Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
14Foul points0
98Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.41.9
23.425.3
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 7.6
8788
#27
23.81.7
23.721.9
Auto4.3
Teleop18.1
End1.4
Second
9313
#32
18.12.1
11.713.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.8
red by 6.7
9761
#49
11.42.3
13.311.0
Auto1.2
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Third
9309
#28
17.91.9
9.811.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.6
red by 13.8
9610
#53
4.11.6
5.13.6
Auto0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed