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Red109
906731.8
597116.5
1650.6
Blue92
191245.8
1065516.4
940518.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996605015020010992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
70Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
109Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
50.61.4
39.641.0
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
red by 4.8
1912
#16
45.81.6
33.435.0
Auto8.4
Teleop34.5
End2.8
Second
9067
#31
31.81.4
27.629.0
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End2.9
red by 13.7
9405
#30
18.21.6
15.917.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
5971
#41
16.52.3
18.620.9
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.6
red by 0.1
16.42.7
15.518.2
Auto2.5
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned