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Red130
971739.7
610722.1
361635.8
Blue94
906731.8
1055016.8
930917.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96625015013094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+40Teleop
+38Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points6
27Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#11
63Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
89Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points2
130Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9717
#17
39.72.5
37.540.0
Auto7.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
red by 7.9
9067
#31
31.81.6
29.030.6
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Second
3616
#26
35.82.5
25.127.7
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End2.1
red by 17.9
9309
#28
17.91.6
11.713.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Third
6107
#13
22.12.5
15.117.6
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 5.3
16.82.7
13.416.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsEarned