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Red81
96104.1
931318.1
142130.8
Blue128
1650.6
596511.6
218329.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48109015020081128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+47
Endgame+61
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points41
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
6Processor points24
8Net points16
14Algae points40
51Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
22Foul points8
81Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.0
25.325.3
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End5.5
blue by 19.8
16
#4
50.61.2
41.042.2
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
Second
9313
#32
18.10.0
13.813.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.8
blue by 11.6
2183
#20
29.71.2
27.628.8
Auto5.1
Teleop19.5
End5.2
Third
9610
#53
4.10.0
3.63.5
Auto0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.3
blue by 7.5
5965
#44
11.62.1
15.918.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
4%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned