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Red42
94358.7
930917.9
596511.6
Blue95
966016.9
1650.6
208016.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4187020601001201401604295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+45
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
0Processor points6
8Net points20
8Algae points26
24Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
42Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9309
#28
17.90.1
13.313.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.6
blue by 32.7
16
#4
50.61.3
42.243.5
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
Second
5965
#44
11.60.1
18.018.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
blue by 5.3
9660
#29
16.92.2
18.921.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End4.3
Third
9435
#51
8.70.1
6.97.0
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 7.6
2080
#40
16.41.3
11.212.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned