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Red97
906731.8
297318.2
352631.4
Blue82
36422.5
162219.8
215221.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8267020401001201409782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points7
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
10Coral scored#8
37Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
71Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
97Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9067
#31
31.81.0
30.631.6
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End2.9
red by 9.4
364
#24
22.50.7
23.223.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End5.5
Second
31.41.0
27.027.9
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 9.6
2152
#52
21.90.7
17.718.4
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
Third
2973
#25
18.21.0
13.814.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End0.9
blue by 1.6
1622
#35
19.80.7
21.522.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned