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Red131
1049726.7
310237.8
880844.2
Blue30
96104.1
222117.7
976821.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1093305010015013130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+89Teleop
+101Endgame
+101Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +83
23Coral scored#4
83Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
103Total teleop20
Reef
9L4#2
6L3#1
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +101
0Foul points0
131Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.23.0
35.738.7
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End7.1
red by 23.0
9768
#45
21.20.5
16.315.7
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End2.0
Second
3102
#14
37.83.0
31.434.4
Auto5.4
Teleop27.9
End4.5
red by 20.0
2221
#34
17.70.3
15.114.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End3.2
Third
26.75.0
18.923.9
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End1.3
red by 22.6
9610
#53
4.10.3
3.53.2
Auto0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed