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Red79
976111.4
375320.1
501336.5
Blue92
915324.2
433637.3
597116.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64860501001507992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
68Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points18
79Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#18
36.51.0
30.431.4
Auto6.1
Teleop29.3
End1.1
blue by 0.8
4336
#38
37.30.5
34.033.5
Auto4.8
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Second
3753
#42
20.11.0
15.316.3
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 4.0
9153
#33
24.20.5
19.419.0
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End0.5
Third
9761
#49
11.41.7
12.414.0
Auto1.2
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 5.0
5971
#41
16.50.8
18.417.7
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed