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Red45
360615.7
303926.1
181811.5
Blue108
709423.9
1021728.6
940518.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697620406010012045108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
3Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#10
24Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
36Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points30
45Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#47
26.11.0
25.624.6
Auto6.3
Teleop16.4
End3.4
blue by 2.5
28.60.8
18.018.8
Auto4.9
Teleop20.0
End3.7
Second
3606
#37
15.71.6
13.712.0
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End1.4
blue by 8.3
7094
#22
23.90.5
22.422.8
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End3.3
Third
1818
#50
11.51.6
14.613.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 6.6
9405
#30
18.20.5
18.519.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned