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Red86
565353.7
728812.0
878823.8
Blue66
945614.2
1055016.8
408739.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106770501502008666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+34Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
6Processor points6
20Net points0
26Algae points6
71Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
86Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.3
49.549.2
Auto11.1
Teleop37.7
End4.9
red by 13.9
39.80.4
38.037.7
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End8.7
Second
8788
#27
23.80.3
20.320.0
Auto4.3
Teleop18.1
End1.4
red by 7.0
16.80.6
16.115.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Third
7288
#12
12.00.5
14.514.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End1.2
blue by 2.2
9456
#46
14.20.6
11.210.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned