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Red136
299256.4
36422.5
3425.5
Blue56
586319.2
966016.9
596511.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1205905010015013656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+50Teleop
+70Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points27
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
77Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
12Foul points2
136Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2992
#10
56.41.2
50.051.2
Auto11.6
Teleop42.6
End2.2
red by 37.2
5863
#39
19.20.7
14.313.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Second
34
#19
25.51.2
20.521.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End6.6
red by 8.6
9660
#29
16.91.2
21.119.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End4.3
Third
364
#24
22.51.2
23.925.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End5.5
red by 10.9
5965
#44
11.61.2
18.217.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed