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Red95
352631.4
45654.2
1049726.7
Blue93
94358.7
361635.8
218329.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12675501001502009593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
6Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points38
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
85Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
95Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
54.20.7
51.250.5
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
red by 18.4
3616
#26
35.81.5
29.230.6
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End2.1
Second
31.40.7
27.927.2
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 1.7
2183
#20
29.71.5
32.033.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.5
End5.2
Third
26.71.2
23.922.7
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End1.3
red by 18.0
9435
#51
8.71.5
7.08.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed