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Red64
970810.2
191245.8
930917.9
Blue97
375320.1
880844.2
297318.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757450607080901001106497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
54Total teleop72
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
64Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#16
45.80.2
39.939.7
Auto8.4
Teleop34.5
End2.8
red by 1.7
44.21.8
38.740.5
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End7.1
Second
9309
#28
17.90.2
13.413.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.6
blue by 2.2
3753
#42
20.11.8
16.318.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Third
9708
#55
10.20.3
13.713.4
Auto1.1
Teleop8.3
End0.8
blue by 8.0
2973
#25
18.21.8
14.716.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed