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Red94
181811.5
142130.8
433637.3
Blue47
586319.2
906731.8
222117.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80740501001502002503003504009447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +39
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
74Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#2
7L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
94Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#38
37.31.4
29.330.8
Auto4.8
Teleop30.9
End1.6
red by 5.5
9067
#31
31.81.5
29.928.3
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Second
30.81.4
20.922.4
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End5.5
red by 11.6
5863
#39
19.21.9
14.612.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Third
1818
#50
11.52.0
17.419.4
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 6.2
2221
#34
17.71.9
17.515.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed