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Red102
610722.1
408739.8
203658.6
Blue74
597116.5
970810.2
352631.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10854015020010274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
24Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
62Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
102Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.3
46.046.4
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
red by 27.2
31.41.1
21.022.2
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Second
39.80.4
31.932.4
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End8.7
red by 23.4
5971
#41
16.51.5
18.019.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.6
Third
6107
#13
22.10.3
13.113.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.9
red by 11.9
9708
#55
10.21.5
15.917.4
Auto1.1
Teleop8.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed