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Red99
208016.4
906731.8
931318.1
Blue120
203658.6
360615.7
1021728.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810105015020099120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+23
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
71Total teleop90
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
99Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9067
#31
31.81.3
31.632.9
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End2.9
blue by 26.8
58.61.0
53.154.1
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
Second
9313
#32
18.11.3
15.316.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.8
blue by 10.5
28.61.7
18.820.5
Auto4.9
Teleop20.0
End3.7
Third
2080
#40
16.41.3
12.513.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End3.2
red by 0.7
3606
#37
15.71.7
12.013.7
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned