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Red95
940518.2
976111.4
310237.8
Blue105
648923.8
878823.8
978729.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877805010015095105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
0Teleop0
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
62Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
18Foul points18
95Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#14
37.80.3
34.434.6
Auto5.4
Teleop27.9
End4.5
red by 8.2
9787
#23
29.62.2
19.521.7
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End3.7
Second
9405
#30
18.20.3
19.019.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
blue by 5.7
8788
#27
23.81.3
20.021.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.1
End1.4
Third
9761
#49
11.40.4
14.014.5
Auto1.2
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 12.4
6489
#43
23.82.2
21.824.0
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned