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Red101
565353.7
711121.5
215221.9
Blue53
976821.2
303926.1
728812.0
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10154015020010153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
72Total teleop38
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
101Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.6
49.249.8
Auto11.1
Teleop37.7
End4.9
red by 27.6
3039
#47
26.10.7
24.623.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.4
End3.4
Second
2152
#52
21.90.6
18.418.9
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
red by 0.7
9768
#45
21.21.1
15.714.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End2.0
Third
7111
#36
21.50.6
16.817.4
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End1.0
red by 9.4
7288
#12
12.01.1
14.012.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed