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Red46
1055016.8
597116.5
709423.9
Blue95
346831.8
162219.8
142130.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691040501504695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+39
Endgame+43
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#11
17Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
25Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points6
46Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7094
#22
23.91.2
22.821.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End3.3
blue by 7.9
3468
#11
31.80.1
29.629.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End4.1
Second
16.82.0
15.513.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 14.0
30.80.1
26.026.2
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End5.5
Third
5971
#41
16.52.0
17.715.7
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.6
blue by 3.4
1622
#35
19.80.1
22.222.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned