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Red74
945614.2
181811.5
971739.7
Blue73
1065516.4
433637.3
96104.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7662020401001201401607473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#13
29Coral points48
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
33Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
26Foul points0
74Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9717
#17
39.71.1
40.739.6
Auto7.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
red by 2.4
4336
#38
37.31.2
33.534.8
Auto4.8
Teleop30.9
End1.6
Second
9456
#46
14.21.8
10.68.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.4
End0.9
blue by 2.1
16.42.1
17.619.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Third
1818
#50
11.51.8
13.011.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 7.4
9610
#53
4.11.2
3.24.5
Auto0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed