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Red108
375320.1
203658.6
931318.1
Blue170
586319.2
804466.6
45654.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9614650200250108170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+68
Endgame+68
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +57
15Coral scored#24
53Coral points88
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#3
6Processor points24
8Net points12
14Algae points36
67Total teleop124
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#8
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
20Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
6Foul points0
108Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.1
54.154.0
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
blue by 8.0
66.62.0
62.464.4
Auto13.4
Teleop47.0
End6.2
Second
3753
#42
20.10.1
18.118.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.0
End1.2
blue by 34.1
456
#5
54.22.0
50.552.5
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
Third
9313
#32
18.10.1
16.616.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.8
blue by 1.1
5863
#39
19.22.0
13.615.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned