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Red144
361635.8
1650.6
360615.7
Blue67
36422.5
218329.7
610722.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081005015020014467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+81Teleop
+79Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +70
19Coral scored#10
70Coral points36
2Processor algae#0
7Net algae#1
12Processor points0
28Net points4
40Algae points4
110Total teleop40
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#3
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points2
144Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
50.62.4
46.749.0
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
red by 20.9
2183
#20
29.72.0
33.431.4
Auto5.1
Teleop19.5
End5.2
Second
3616
#26
35.82.4
30.633.0
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End2.1
red by 13.4
364
#24
22.52.0
25.123.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End5.5
Third
3606
#37
15.74.0
13.717.7
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End1.4
blue by 6.4
6107
#13
22.12.0
22.120.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned